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Utilizing a stock/bond allocation, annual withdrawal
rate, and length of retirement, the model runs 10,000
random simulations of possible outcomes for a specific
retirement period. The simulation starts with a
beginning portfolio value then it randomly selects a
monthly return series from monthly return data using the
S&P 500 Index and Ibbotson Long Term Corporate Bond
Index spanning back to January 1926. Once a month is
chosen, all monthly return data for a specific month are
drawn from that same month. Then the simulation takes a
beginning portfolio value and multiplies it by a monthly
return based on the allocation. The portfolio also
subtracts an assumed fee rate of one twelfth of 125
basis points. Finally, a real withdrawal amount is
calculated and subtracted from the portfolio value. Real
withdrawal rates equal the monthly portion of the
nominal withdrawal rate multiplied by a rolling value
for the effect of inflation. After the real withdrawal
rate is subtracted, the monthly portfolio value remains
and is used as the beginning portfolio value for the
next month. This process is repeated for the duration of
the retirement. No taxes were taken into consideration. IMPORTANT: The projections or other information generated by the by the calculator regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results. Results may vary with each use and over time. |